Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.200618 0.228086 0.257537 0.291417 0.329266 0.370198 0.417766
2026-01-11 0.163228 0.199836 0.241692 0.292920 0.353745 0.423469 0.509248
2026-01-18 0.139638 0.182251 0.233734 0.300141 0.383116 0.482923 0.611572
2026-01-25 0.121749 0.168282 0.227328 0.307098 0.411301 0.541958 0.717223
2026-02-01 0.104639 0.152543 0.216145 0.305783 0.427686 0.586342 0.806853
2026-02-08 0.091176 0.139634 0.206712 0.304970 0.443552 0.630053 0.897593
2026-02-15 0.079996 0.128316 0.197859 0.303435 0.457407 0.671042 0.986415
2026-02-22 0.073078 0.122262 0.195587 0.310542 0.483274 0.729509 1.102307
2026-03-01 0.065294 0.113846 0.188759 0.309920 0.497287 0.771387 1.196469
2026-03-08 0.058744 0.106546 0.182753 0.309687 0.511347 0.813566 1.292833
2026-03-15 0.053161 0.100141 0.177415 0.309770 0.525466 0.856131 1.391559
2026-03-22 0.049392 0.096371 0.175904 0.315672 0.548811 0.913659 1.515699
2026-03-29 0.046276 0.093498 0.175758 0.324014 0.577005 0.980945 1.659805
2026-04-05 0.042441 0.088858 0.172096 0.325989 0.594676 1.032371 1.781503
2026-04-12 0.039931 0.086417 0.172047 0.334125 0.623096 1.102531 1.936819
2026-04-19 0.037600 0.084045 0.171860 0.341893 0.651220 1.173511 2.096876
2026-04-26 0.034319 0.079370 0.166917 0.340502 0.662986 1.217479 2.213924
2026-05-03 0.031447 0.075192 0.162500 0.339638 0.675449 1.263018 2.335544
2026-05-10 0.028780 0.071125 0.157896 0.337965 0.686147 1.305800 2.454183
2026-05-17 0.027345 0.069594 0.158209 0.345806 0.714895 1.381588 2.633602
2026-05-24 0.025210 0.066219 0.154413 0.345127 0.727332 1.428663 2.764246
2026-05-31 0.023311 0.063162 0.150987 0.344873 0.740447 1.477421 2.899890
2026-06-07 0.021612 0.060374 0.147870 0.344966 0.754134 1.527728 3.040389